Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Thu Dec 31 18:39:36 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) 2nd error: conditional on being an athlete one must be in good health so the comparison must be ONLY between otherwise healthy non-athletes & these athletes, conditional on being alive at that age. Note: (unconditional) LE changes have been mostly affected by child mortality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

DEPARTMENT OF BAD MISTAKES W/PROBABILISTIC CONCEPTS LANCET compares life duration of athletes to the life expectancy AT birth for males. They shd compare them to the conditional expectancy of someone active in same age group! Effects shrinks yuugely. https://t.co/Z0czeo2H4r — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) Finally, for the point they are making (whether extremes length or shorten LE) they must use a comparative cohort of mild exercisers, nothing else. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo