Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) Note 1: accidents for humans are largely internal, particularly as we age. Their incidence is memoryless. Note 2: What is memoryless? If a lightbulb has a life expectancy of 3 years, and you've had it on for 10 years, it still has a life expectancy of 3 years. — PolitiTweet.org