Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY QUIZ DU JOUR In 1784, at a dinner in Paris, Cagliostro claimed to be 3500 y. o., in permanent middle age; he partook of most historical battles; he was immortal. Condorcet exposed an error: C could not be that old. Explain C's error & what to do for C to be #Lindy https://t.co/IiTdXLGrc7 — PolitiTweet.org
