Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Chris too is (was) an option trader. To divert from 45/55 you need a looooooooooot of certainties not met with such elections. @NateSilver538, to repeat, does not understand probability. Statistics is not his thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Chris Arnade 🐢 @Chris_arnade
Put simply it was a close election. A model saying before hand, "it is basically 50/50, or 55/45" more captures wha… https://t.co/3U5x5iaxO1