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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

Created

Mon Aug 17 01:17:15 +0000 2020

Likes

156

Retweets

12

Source

Twitter for iPhone

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ Can someone give an intuitive proof of the law of iterated expectations? Words only, no math. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

This reminds me of the statement "the probability is now 100%. But it could change." — PolitiTweet.org

Steven Pinker @sapinker

None of this is guaranteed to be permanent. Many causes of peace are threatened by nationalist populism.

Posted Aug. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Jaffer is Palestinian. If he openly says that he will vote for Trump, you can expect many people classified on the left to do so, but covertly. Pardoning Snowden will draw many voters wary of the "deep state". — PolitiTweet.org

Jaffer Ali @Jaffer22915438

The intelligence community will go berserk if Trump pardons Snowden. If he does that, I will do the unthinkable and… https://t.co/v26gdyBddV

Posted Aug. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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