Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Sun Aug 16 01:50:44 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

More evidence that 1) @sapinker is ignorant of statistics, 2) is dishonest about it. [Such reasoning (not the unethical part) is called the "Pinker Problem" in Stat Consequences of Fat Tails] — PolitiTweet.org

The two world wars were spikes, not harbingers of a trend. Since end of WWII, death rates have roller-coastered dow… https://t.co/HJMfQjMXjL

Posted Aug. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@HarryDCrane @joe_shipman @PlusEVAnalytics My solution above is exact: 1/4 +\frac{ArcSin(⅓)} {2\pi} — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@HarryDCrane @joe_shipman @PlusEVAnalytics {1,1,1,0,0,0} and {1,0,1,0,1,0} have a ⅓ correlation. At the limit of n large, the CDF of a Bivariate normal in the positive quadrant for both variables. We can ignore the variance at root{n} because of symmetry. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2020 Hibernated