Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This fellow figured out what almost (perhaps all) psychologists of probability got wrong (why I call "superforecasters" a masquerade). — PolitiTweet.org
David Salazar @DavidSalazarVir
Probability calibration is a way evaluating forecasts. Is this truly the mark of a good analysis? Under fat-tails,… https://t.co/IvRllM4JZA