Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"Govt policy (when dealing with floods or pandemics) is dictated by the expected maxima of the distribution of harm, rather than the mean." "Evidence-based" methods naively work with the expected mean, not the extremes. (paper agst BS "forecasting") https://t.co/XGKfabMB0K https://t.co/4Il3bwOdaF — PolitiTweet.org