Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
It is common for people like Fauci to know their stuff, but to not understand risk of events. Same with epidemiologists as we saw. The carpenter fallacy: to get an ideas about probabilities of tail sequences at roulette, hire a probabilist not a carpenter. @yaneerbaryam — PolitiTweet.org
Cathy Young @CathyYoung63
From January 26 https://t.co/nF6DNzxPLZ Bottom line is that everyone underreacted at first. Whose fault was it?… https://t.co/qGajfdcqlF
