David Gauke

@DavidGauke ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked July 25, 2021

Created

Sun Jul 25 16:46:11 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter for iPhone

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@Dominic2306 Thanks for the clarity. Assuming that line was held, my view is that the overwhelming probability was that we’d have left the EU without a deal on 31/10 but for the Benn Act. But I assume you think there was a reasonable chance (50%?) of the EU agreeing a deal on those terms? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2021

Preceded By

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@Dominic2306 But in September 2019, had Benn Act not passed, in the deal you were trying to get before 31/10, what was your intention re goods checks? Not sure if you’re saying “we’d have got a deal in which we didn’t have checks GB/NI & we wouldn’t build anything NI/RoI”. Was that feasible? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2021

Followed By

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@Dominic2306 Care to put a percentage likelihood on the EU accepting such a deal? (“God knows” doesn’t sound very Tetlock! Or does reflect an ambivalence as to whether a deal was reached?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2021