David Gauke

@DavidGauke ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 28, 2020

Created

Wed Dec 11 06:25:55 +0000 2019

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

The YouGov MRP polling struggles to take into account local factors like independents. But, on central estimates, my vote share is more than Labour & Lib Dems combined. And if I get top end of the predicted range & the Tory gets the bottom of the range, there’s just 1% in it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @harrytlambert: An update from the @DavidGauke campaign: “SW Herts is 50 Con - 27 Gauke (central estimates). Top end us versus bottom e… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Retweet

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

Given that the MRP polling probably underestimates independents (especially an incumbent), worth looking at the Conservative bottom of the range number and my top of the range number. A 40-39 split. Here’s what that looks like in a bar chart! https://t.co/x6CeVIZLLH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019