Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

Created

Fri Dec 27 00:31:14 +0000 2019

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Trump cracked the blue wall; Obama pushed Virginia & Colorado in the Dem column; Bush painted Dem stronghold West Virginia red; Clinton won reliably GOP California. Some of this was demographic change but much of it was candidates altering the map. That may happen again in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Random observation from looking at election results: Last 4 presidents won by forging unique coalitions. Trump, Obama, Bush, Clinton all realigned the electoral map to some degree. The last president to win by inheriting his predecessor’s coalition was George H.W. Bush in 1988. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The rise of political tribalism has made the electoral map seem static lately, but consider that Trump came within 2 points distance of winning Minnesota and New Hampshire. Or that Clinton was 5 points from carrying Arizona and Georgia in ‘16. All these states are in play in ‘20. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated