David Frum

@davidfrum ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 24, 2023

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Mon Feb 20 14:47:28 +0000 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

How that morale crisis plays out I cannot predict: individual or group desertions? murder of officers? But at some point, maybe soon, Putin will face a choice: lose his war or lose his army. Which points to one of two sub-outcomes within Outcome 3: — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

I can't evaluate them, but we've all seen reports of steeply rising Russian battlefield casualties in recent weeks, reports of soldiers' pay month in arrears. If these reports are true, and others like them are true, the army faces an imminent morale crisis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

Outcome 3a: Respond quickly and decisively to the army's morale crisis, recall troops home to retain a force that can maintain power domestically - as the Soviets attempted to do from Afghanistan, 1989. Or Outcome 3a: Respond too little, too late to the morale crisis — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023 Just a Typo