Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Thu May 25 03:25:24 +0000 2017

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

4. If I knew *nothing* else, I'd guess a "generic" Republican would win a special election by like 8-15 points under those circumstances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. Trump won Montana by 20 points. But it's also a somewhat quirky, anti-incumbent state and we're in a Dem-leaning political environment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

5. Polls had suggested Montana would probably be closer. But there weren't many of them and—to put it politely—they weren't top-shelf polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2017 Hibernated