Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Tue May 16 23:14:50 +0000 2017

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Betting markets give: a) Dems a 45% chance of winning the House b) Trump a 55% chance! of not finishing his term This is pretty irrational. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the modern media environment, those types of stories can be very damaging. See also: Hillary Clinton & her emails. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure what the probability of a) or b) is, but a) is almost certainly more likely than b) and possibly a prerequisite to it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2017 Hibernated