Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Wed Mar 15 20:29:47 +0000 2017

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Markets have Le Pen with a ~25% chance of winning even though she's down by 20(!) points. They're pricing in a mass… https://t.co/Bz9Goz7pcQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lately we've had a lot of outcomes like these where markets/elites tried to outguess the polls and guessed in the i… https://t.co/UHm30S1dmp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By comparison markets gave Trump only a 15% chance when he was down only 3-4 points. And Brexit only a 20% chance when it was TIED in polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2017 Hibernated