Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sat Jan 21 21:25:11 +0000 2017

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hard to overstate how clustering/gerrymandering of Dems helps GOP. Trump lost pop vote but won median congressional district by ~3.5 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But it's a BIG adjustment to go from underdog/insurgent to incumbent. One of the reasons presidents often struggle in their first 1-2 years. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Because of this, Trump can make out pretty well if ~45% of the country supports him. But bottom will fall out quickly if it's only 35-40%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2017 Hibernated