Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Wed Nov 16 16:56:32 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Put another way, the public polling average is the worst way to forecast an election, except for all the other ways. 4/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whereas some of the X's that seem helpful in 2016—social media sentiment, "shy" voters, crowd sizes!—made people laughably wrong in 2012. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Would be better to spend more time thinking about how to measure real-world uncertainty in polling, and how to convey it to the public. 5/5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated