Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Wed Nov 16 16:41:51 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some of the X's that seemed helpful in 2012—early voting, ground game, private polls—made people even wronger in 2016. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm wary of arguments of the form "if only we'd accounted for X, we could have predicted Trump better than the public polls did!" 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whereas some of the X's that seem helpful in 2016—social media sentiment, "shy" voters, crowd sizes!—made people laughably wrong in 2012. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2016 Hibernated