Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sun Nov 06 19:09:41 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemjb: So you can't cite the trend adjustment in isolation. It's part of the model's strategy to balance recency & quality of polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemjb: In the primaries, for instance, we don't use a trend line adjustment, but weight more recent polls VERY aggressively instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemjb: ...and to avoid our state-by-state forecasts from either bouncing around too much or being out of date. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated