Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sun Nov 06 14:08:40 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Average of 6 most recent live-caller national polls has Clinton +2.3 points. 538's popular vote estimate is Clinton +2.9. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dsquareddigest @delong @Econodel @mattyglesias: Whereas if we wrongly assumed state errors are uncorrelated, we'd have Trump at <5% or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some people are saying Clinton's up 5-6 nationally. That's just not a good representation of what the data says. But, she has a lead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2016 Hibernated