Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sat Nov 05 20:23:48 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not just an issue in elections models. Failure to understand how risks are correlated is part of what led to the 2007/8 financial crisis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you haven't carefully tested how errors are correlated between states, for example, your model will be way overconfident. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a reasonable range of disagreement. But a model showing Clinton at 98% or 99% is not defensible based on the empirical evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated