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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sat Nov 05 20:20:00 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are also a gajillion ways to make a model overconfident, whereas it's pretty hard to make one overconfident. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Every model makes assumptions but we actually test ours based on the evidence. Some of the other models are barley even empirical. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you haven't carefully tested how errors are correlated between states, for example, your model will be way overconfident. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2016 Hibernated