Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sun Oct 30 15:26:02 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump odds comparison: 538 polls-plus: 23% Betfair: 23% 538 polls-only: 21% --- NYT/Upshot: 9% Daily Kos: 4% Huff. Post: 2% Princeton: 1% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump odds up slightly in our model after today's mess of polling -- now 21% in polls-only, 23% in polls-plus: https://t.co/w05RSS9r0M — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So as has not infrequently been the case, 538 models are exactly in line with betting markets. But other models disagree with 538 + bettors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2016 Hibernated