Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Fri Oct 28 23:51:10 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Key thing to look at is whether Clinton's vote share declines from current ~46%. If Trump's vote rises, may not have to do with FBI stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Betting markets have Clinton win probability falling from 81%->76% post FBI. Equivalent to anticipating roughly a 1-point drop in the polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The FBI story also broke at the exact time when the media was eager for a dramatic twist/complication in the "Clinton coasts" narrative. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2016 Hibernated