Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Wed Oct 26 15:55:55 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For instance, how much polling errors are correlated from state to state matters 100x more than what (for example) the IBD/TIPP poll says. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People spend **way** too much time litigating individual polls, when they should be thinking about the risk of systemic polling error. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another source of uncertainty: a lot of disagreement among pollsters about both the level (big or smallish Clinton lead) *and* the trend. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2016 Hibernated