Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Thu Aug 25 20:42:00 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump chances: 538 polls-plus—25% Betfair—21% 538 polls-only—17% NYT/Upshot—12% Daily Kos Elections—11% Princeton Election Consortium—4% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think the demographics work for Trump in NM, but Johnson is a factor there. And they could be good for Trump in ME if race tightens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So it looks like 538's models account for more uncertainty than other models, although we're more in line with betting markets. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2016 Hibernated