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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sun Aug 07 13:19:40 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our long-term models project either a lot (polls-plus) or a little (polls-only) tightening eventually, however. https://t.co/IDN3p4eRau — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No sign yet of a reversal in Clinton's bounce. Her lead has held steady at ~8% for a few days, per our nowcast. https://t.co/dKIkhZU3SZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you average polls-only and polls-plus, Clinton's projected Nov. 8 margin is 5-6%. Roughly equal chance she (i) loses (ii) wins by 10%+. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated