Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Mon Jul 25 16:49:35 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to ignore polls for the next 3 weeks that's OK. Polls can be wild during conventions. Trump's bounce pretty average. HOWEVER... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*Before* the conventions, Trump had a 35-40% chance of winning, per our models. That's high! Race had already gotten much closer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Democrats were maybe too complacent about what happened to Clinton's numbers in July. If you go from +7 to +3 in a month, easy to go to -1. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated