Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Mon Jul 25 13:01:46 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump trailed by around 3 points in our forecasts a week ago. Typical convention bounce is 4 points. So you end up at Trump +1 or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not Trump's convention bounce per se that should worry Dems. That's pretty normal. It's how it became so close to begin with. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@fierman: Polls-plus is the most accurate, historically. But the now-cast is fun if you like to panic! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2016 Hibernated