Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Fri Jun 24 08:12:27 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But despite polls showing the race roughly even & dodgy history of UK polls, betting markets had leave as a 4:1 underdog as of 24 hours ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Polling average missed the final outcome by ~4%. Given the (not-very-good) track record of UK polls about what you'd have a right to expect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. Please be aware of my hindsight bias here. We didn't issue a UK referendum forecast and it's really easy to sound smart after the fact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2016 Hibernated