Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Fri Feb 19 23:03:05 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our polls-plus forecast in SC. Bit more aggressive than poll avg: Trump 31 Rubio 20 Cruz 20 Jeb 11 Kasich 9 Carson 8 https://t.co/VAA1wtMMjL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Put another way: Trump's got the most loyal base in the party, but if you're not with him at the start probably won't get on board later on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Relative to that forecast, I'd subtract a couple points from Kasich (nothing on the line) and add a couple to Cruz (good turnout operation). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated