Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Fri Feb 19 21:01:31 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also worth remembering that Trump did badly in IA and mediocrely in NH among late-deciders, per exit polls. So that might be a pattern. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model tries to balance recency and pollster quality, which are at odds in SC. Late-breaking polls aren't always the most thorough ones. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Put another way: Trump's got the most loyal base in the party, but if you're not with him at the start probably won't get on board later on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2016 Hibernated