Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Thu Mar 09 14:40:26 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Ehh "pretending to disagree" is a pretty generous frame for "some people just aren't very honest and make shit up". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 9, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a bit of a compliment to our on analysis, here's an independent evaluation of 538 midterm forecasts vs. prediction markets. Prediction markets got more caught up in the red wave narrative and were less accurate this time around. https://t.co/WscipwEfRp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a prominent example where attempts to label a claim as "misinformation" didn't work at all. Now a supermajority (66%) of Americans, including a majority of Democrats, lean toward a lab leak. This proportion has been growing over time (49% in 2020, 58% in 2021). — PolitiTweet.org

New @TheEconomist @YouGov poll 66% Americans surveyed lean toward lab #OriginOfCovid 54% Dem lean lab, 21% not sure… https://t.co/8tej63o24R

Posted March 9, 2023