Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Mar 08 17:11:53 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bendreyfuss Fox uses a different data provider than the consortium (AP/VoteCast). But they did bad modeling, got really lucky, and are trying to pass off a bug as a feature. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess I just find this issue fascinating, because you have the "trust the experts" crowd scolding Baier, but if you talk to the experts in this field, I'd expect a strong consensus that Fox effed up in Arizona—the facts aren't terribly ambiguous. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also notable that the New York Times *rejected* the AP/Fox call for Biden in Arizona, even though the Times usually defaults to AP calls. Funnily enough, this was not even mentioned in the Times' big weekend story on the Arizona call! https://t.co/OMT4jqug7N — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Like, is it just impossible that would have had different inputs from everyone else so that it would… https://t.co/YR7yKXfleL

Posted March 8, 2023