Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Mar 08 16:47:33 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Mishkin said in this clip he expected most of the outstanding vote in AZ to go to Biden, meaning that Biden would *expand* on his 7-point lead. Instead, it went overwhelmingly to Trump, and Biden won by just 0.3 points. It happens, but they screwed up. https://t.co/OLHAZqlMMg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Arizona call *was* *extremely* premature, though. There's a reason no other network made the same call for *days* afterward. — PolitiTweet.org

If you sent me one of those "to be fair" replies describing how Fox as a whole might be a mess, but Bret Baier is a… https://t.co/A8A4KfDQO1

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess I just find this issue fascinating, because you have the "trust the experts" crowd scolding Baier, but if you talk to the experts in this field, I'd expect a strong consensus that Fox effed up in Arizona—the facts aren't terribly ambiguous. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023