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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
2.3 points of vote *share* = 4-5 points of vote *margin* (how much you beat/lose to the other guy by) which is a pretty big effect. The view that "LOL, nothing matters" is sophomoric. Research is very robust that candidates pay an electoral price for extremism. — PolitiTweet.org
Andy Hall @ahall_research
How much were election-denying Republican candidates punished in the 2022 midterms? @janetmalzahn and I put togethe… https://t.co/nQagJBPHYk