Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2023

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Thu Feb 16 15:42:55 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Harris's 2020 was awful (entered as a frontrunner, quit before IA), so she'll have to be considerably better to win the nomination in 2024. But conditional on having improved enough to win the nom, she'll likely also be a better general election candidate than people now assume. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah. Winning the primaries is hard, and they serve as a trial-by-fire test of electability and candidate acumen. There tend not to be very large candidate effects in presidential races because few truly terrible candidates survive the grueling nomination process. — PolitiTweet.org

I don't get the "IF BIDEN DOESN'T RUN IT'S KAMALA AND THEN DEMS WILL LOSE" thing If there's a 2024 D primary, oth… https://t.co/mw5oxc9q4F

Posted Feb. 16, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheZvi Maybe alternate weeks? COVID is still relatively important in absolute magnitude compared to most of the dumb shit that people argue about. Although so is AI, of course. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2023