Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 15, 2023

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Thu Feb 02 16:56:39 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

10/ It is of course a little…piquing…that some of the same vibes-based punditry that ignored polling averages or cherry-picked data to sell a "red wave" narrative then later turned around and blamed polls/data. But that’s why sites like 538 need to exist. Trust the process. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

9/ More generally, it’s usually a huge mistake to “fight the last war” in forecasting. Much news coverage (and even some data-driven shops) way overcompensated for 2016/2020 by treating "polls always underestimate Republicans" as the new normal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The "fun" thing about writing about a book is that you'll struggle to churn out 1000 words and there's pretty much no way to know in the moment if they're brilliant or you'll hate them two days later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023