Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 28, 2023

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Mon Dec 19 20:49:43 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PhilGalfond It depends a lot on the player and their position I think? I may fare OK against this player but there are second-order effects on EV. If I'm at a table of loose passive fish and a good high VPIP player sits on my left, that's going to completely blow up my spot against the fish. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whole thread worth reading. What's surprising (though it shouldn't be surprising: it's a predictable consequence of how they're trained) is how much AI language models will flatter user's sensibilities without any ground conception of truth. Fundamentally, they're bullshitters. — PolitiTweet.org

Worrying behavior 2: LMs/RLHF models are people-pleasers, learning to repeat back dialog users’ views as their own… https://t.co/gY5tIPFOMj

Posted Dec. 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SamGreenwoodRIO @PhilGalfond Thanks for the reply! Yeah, maybe my question is less about a good player and more about a very active player. e.g. I'm not thrilled in a game where the player to my left is the only player straddling. Of course it's -EV for him, but the EV mostly goes to players on his right. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2022