Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 9, 2023

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Wed Dec 07 03:00:02 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Don't want to many any premature "calls" but I thought you might enjoy the following word puzzle (unscramble the anagram). WANROCK WNIS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think betting markets are particularly good at pre-election forecasting but on election nights, that's what I'd tend to go with. Their incentives are better than people have reasons to be extremely risk averse in not making an incorrect "call". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias One theory I heard is that the Facebook news algo rewarded emotional rather than cerebral engagement, perhaps because that was a good signal when seeing posts from friends/family. The political orientation of the content it liked may have been a downstream effect from that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022