Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 29, 2022

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Fri Nov 11 17:17:15 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PoliticsWolf Our forecast of the popular vote accounts for uncontested races and all that other jazz. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nope, that's a trap. You don't want to arbitrarily exclude pollsters. RCP stopped including a bunch of pollsters because they thought they were too D-leaning based on 2016/2020. As a result, their polling averages did terribly on Tuesday whereas ours were quite good. — PolitiTweet.org

The final Marist poll was on the money. All the rest of the last-minute polls were garbage and many of them were fr… https://t.co/vhND0Q1bHf

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnCassidy No, because I don't really find it that illuminating. We have a process that's worked quite well over 14 years now. The process is to include partisan polls, but to assume they are biased based on how biased partisan polls have been on average in the past. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022