Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 28, 2022

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Fri Nov 11 15:55:08 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think people are oversubscribed on the argument that Republican base voters won't listen to Republican elites on Trump. In 2016, the elites somewhat famously failed to coalesce around an alternative, but now they have one in DeSantis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@StephenGutowski @BenjySarlin Yeah, I definitely think there's a demonstrated need for a Twitter-like product to exist. It's really in its own category more than being a competitor with e.g. Facebook. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not *that* far from the 538 Deluxe forecast, which had Rs winning the popular vote by 4 but only gaining 17 seats. And as per the chart below, because of uncertainty in votes -> seats, there were plenty of scenarios where the House was hard to call or even stayed D at R+4. https://t.co/RdxAE9a44U — PolitiTweet.org

If your pre-election bingo card had a roughly R+4 national House vote and the House still not callable by the Frida… https://t.co/OzaUbbd4oD

Posted Nov. 11, 2022