Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 24, 2022

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Wed Nov 09 23:38:42 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bendreyfuss Yeah like not too far from the median of the forecast (depending on how things end up) but one of the weirder iterations of the median. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bendreyfuss In media and many other fields there's a type of person whose main skill is reading vibes. It's a rather useful skill, but if it isn't accompanied by either a sense of ironic detachment or some other "hard" skills, they literally can't comprehend that the vibes can be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor Does that reflect fundraising or other resource allocation decisions? Survivorship bias (i.e. you were probably pretty good to survive 2020)? Just luck? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022