Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 15, 2022

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Wed Nov 09 02:26:39 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro Tracking results on election night is one of the best use-cases for prediction markets. Very much an issue where crowdsourcing helps, you can undoubtedly make $ if you focus on particular states or districts and delve into detail on the returns there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still a lot of uncertainty but I think we can put a little bit more weight in the middle part of the bell curve in terms of the distribution of possible outcomes tonight, and a little bit less on the tails. Maybe a fair bit of regional variation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview Yeah. If there were some big upset tonight, like Ohio or Colorado, we could probably *infer* the outcome. But even then, I doubt we'll get a network call. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022