Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 15, 2022

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Tue Nov 08 21:45:06 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People still have some weird conceptions about what the 538 model does. It's a computer program that ingests polls and other data and turns it into a probabilistic forecast. We don't intervene with it in to change a particular forecast. It is an automated process. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@injuryexpert @NateDuncanNBA Yeah, the Nuggets and Jazz have a pretty significant home-court advantage, so would be even more significant for a CDMX franchise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Republicans closed strongly in the polls and so as you might expect they went over 50% winning chances in some of races where they'd been just below 50% before. But a 55/45 forecast one way is not that different from 55/45 the other way. It's a forecast that says "who knows?". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022