Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 14, 2022

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Tue Nov 08 18:43:31 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Exit polls have good years and bad ones. But as more votes are cast early or by mail, I'm skeptical of their ability to add much if any predictive value. * I hate pre-mortems. We'll have all the time in the world to discuss *why* questions once we know *what* happened. 2/2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In case you're wondering, I probably won't have a lot to say about the election on this account **until votes actually start coming in tonight**. * Reports of turnout more noise than signal unless you're very careful (and this is not really an area I specialize in). 1/2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We DO already have our liveblog going, which is where you'll mostly find me today/tonight (along with on TV for ABC News!). The goal here is more to preview tonight than analyze turnout etc. tea leaves. https://t.co/qi7byRXlKU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022