Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 4, 2022

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Sat Nov 05 15:27:53 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But it is worth noting that the composition of the polling averages is much different, and more R-leaning, than it was even two years ago. It is probably unwise to assume the polling averages have an anti-GOP bias **as opposed to a bias that could run in either direction**. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think generally the complaint that GOP-leaning pollsters are "flooding the zone" is not sharp. 538s averages can adjust for them to some extent via house effects. And it's a free market. D-leaning pollsters could release polls too if they wanted; that they don't says something. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some sense, polling averages are increasingly functioning *like betting markets*, in that you're looking at who's willing to pay some price (the cost of the poll + reputational risk) to register an opinion. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022