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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2022

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Fri Oct 28 14:31:25 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here is the comparison in the Senate, for instance. https://t.co/ohiBaFosHH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some qualifications on this, and more in some races than others, but our Deluxe model expects Republicans to outperform their current polling by ~2 points or so in the average Congressional race. https://t.co/znlDdARdJB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's not any one simple reason for the gap, it's a few different things that add up. Also not mentioned in the story: Dems will likely perform worse in the *House popular vote* than on the generic ballot because there are a bunch of districts where there's no D on the ballot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022