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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 9, 2022

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Fri Oct 14 02:06:23 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I was subtweeting this Scotland COVID study earlier, but it is a Bad Use of Polling. Low response rates, obvious signs of response bias. No real attempt to correct for it, study authors seem unaware of the problems, frankly. Doing good research on this topic is hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Paul Novosad @paulnovosad

Respondents were significantly and substantively different from non-respondents on observables (e.g. 61% vs 50% fem… https://t.co/7EByZinP4c

Posted Oct. 14, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @asymmetricinfo I think it's hard to disaggregate (1) sleep, exercise or eating routines often being disrupted during travel days and (2) days before/after travel often being quite busy (if it's a business trip, I have to be more "on" than usual, it's tiring) from the rigors of travel itself. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People aren't direct enough about this: research is hard, and for many/most papers, the research design leaves so much room for error or ambiguity that you can't really conclude anything from it. The peer-review process is not a strong enough filter, especially for newsy topics. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2022